NEWS & RESOURCES
How to Play Greenland & Space Warfare (2026-2031)
HISTORICAL CONTEXT: FROM COLD WAR OUTPOST TO 21ST CENTURY PIVOT
The United States has viewed Greenland as a strategic necessity since World War II. In 1946, the Truman administration offered Denmark $100 million in gold for the island—a proposal declined but followed by the 1951 Defense of Greenland Agreement, which established Pituffik (pronounced: pee-TOO-feek) Space Base.
Current Thoughts
Managing Geopolitical Risks: Taiwan
Identifying sectors and companies most vulnerable in a worst-case scenario can help in strategizing risk mitigation.
In light of the escalating military activities by China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) around Taiwan—described by Taiwan's naval commander, Admiral Tang Hua, as an "anaconda strategy" to surround and squeeze the island—it's crucial to reassess the potential economic impacts.
China: Three Stocks for Now
A recent Foreign Affairs essay frames China’s long game as a campaign to dominate the “frontiers” that determine future power: the deep sea, the Arctic routes, outer space, the digital standards stack, and the plumbing of global finance. An investor can’t “vote” in those arenas—but we can allocate capital toward the companies building the counterweight: secure allied networks, undersea superiority, and space-based sensing.
Proceeding with Care — Normal Market
We continue to base our core positioning on innovation, secular growth, and technology leadership, but we enter a more vigilant phase of the cycle. We believe the macro regime remains constructive enough to reward a tilt toward technology and information services—yet vigilance is warranted.
Harvest Portfolio Management — Strategic Commodities Note / October 2025
China’s recent escalation of rare-earth export controls underscores its dominance in global technology and defense supply chains. The United States and its allies are accelerating efforts to secure mine-to-magnet capacity, yet remain dependent on China for several heavy rare earths.
Second Half – 2025 Investment Strategy
“Don’t fight the Fed, and don’t fight the tape” were truisms that guided my early investment career at Kidder Peabody & Co. in the mid-1980s.